Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 15.657713 17.714439 19.885562 22.342817 25.041111 27.908295 31.179693
2025-02-02 13.788321 16.830969 20.236585 24.308932 29.022942 34.284663 40.577409
2025-02-09 11.933827 15.619452 19.969271 25.429512 32.044314 39.740708 49.310470
2025-02-16 10.041974 14.055698 19.037176 25.578744 33.838201 43.810726 56.641014
2025-02-23 8.320397 12.435817 17.797555 25.144885 34.784135 46.821741 62.789990
2025-03-02 7.007267 11.151328 16.803480 24.860152 35.804633 49.890702 69.087507
2025-03-09 6.068031 10.241314 16.179824 24.953315 37.248414 53.499009 76.172291
2025-03-16 5.193418 9.295420 15.381949 24.692038 38.133056 56.349195 82.328237
2025-03-23 4.817039 9.055372 15.565408 25.808732 40.954343 61.893019 92.273866
2025-03-30 4.294405 8.505131 15.212255 26.079495 42.545343 65.772965 100.063952
2025-04-06 3.625442 7.612879 14.225620 25.288283 42.497895 67.302535 104.598698
2025-04-13 3.028116 6.755195 13.195926 24.322876 42.090808 68.246134 108.279841
2025-04-20 2.843640 6.644499 13.420659 25.411427 44.931493 74.112532 119.358232
2025-04-27 2.842563 6.886436 14.271675 27.582365 49.570305 82.824516 134.887026
2025-05-04 2.693886 6.814393 14.557603 28.817316 52.777162 89.503400 147.645187
2025-05-11 2.412534 6.427908 14.234264 28.978805 54.248876 93.588966 156.670061
2025-05-18 2.086939 5.893362 13.576987 28.496427 54.619252 95.968335 163.179107
2025-05-25 1.822542 5.449269 13.042009 28.179929 55.227364 98.712735 170.298164
2025-06-01 1.633866 5.148532 12.754419 28.282305 56.529632 102.572226 179.213971
2025-06-08 1.431253 4.776809 12.280595 27.992578 57.122984 105.294281 186.414187
2025-06-15 1.379158 4.781967 12.595790 29.228236 60.445165 112.545690 200.933163
2025-06-22 1.256345 4.577750 12.439169 29.527588 62.101467 117.102469 211.279203
2025-06-29 1.063572 4.140683 11.720355 28.652083 61.578711 118.008795 215.779198